XRP Price Today: XRP Suffers 20% Downside Risk Before Its $5 Price Reversal

The XRP price today revolves around an average of $2.82, with the XRP-spot ETF delays and initial whale sell-off acting as obstacles to a price surge. The market analysis and technical signals suggest there is a near-term downside risk of 20%, and the percentage could be higher if it fails to hold on to the $2.00 support level. Despite the active XRP downtrend, the bull flag pattern claims that a possible breakout toward $5 is still possible once the token crosses the $3 psychological level.

According to the latest market analytics, XRP is currently trading at $2.81, which is 0.72% lower than yesterday’s price. The token has been undergoing a significant market downtrend since October 9, 2025, after a small price surge occurred and nearly touched the $3 price point. The current XRP downtrend pushed the token further downwards and placed it near $2.78, which was a huge blow for its trading activity and institutional interest.       

The market analysts believe that the $2.66–$2.80 zone is crucial and will remain as a major accumulation level. According to them, the historical $2.80 price point has always been a strong demand zone for XRP, and it helped to reduce the risk of further downtrends. The market expert and analyst, Ali, reported that the UTXO Realized Price distribution showed a dense cluster of cost bases around $2.80, reflecting where a large number of holders had entered the market. 

XRP Price Today: Will It Regain the Bullish Momentum? 

XRP is currently struggling to regain its bullish market momentum as it trades between $2.80–$2.85. According to the analysts, a constant and steady trading activity at $2.85 is inevitable for a stable market momentum, and XRP requires a breakout above $3 to spark a renewed bullish momentum and notable market dominance. 

Prominent crypto analyst DavidTheBuilder claimed that personally, he was watching XRP in the $2.80–$2.76 zone, which was a key support area that had held multiple times. He stated that if buyers could defend it, he expected a push toward $2.95 next. However, he mentioned that if it broke, he would stay cautious as short-term sentiment could shift fast before the next leg up.  

XRP is currently moving with a bearish outlook in the market, while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 64, which is identified as greed. The recent market data suggests that XRP price has increased by 435% in the last year and managed to outperform 99% of the top 100 crypto assets in the last year, including prominent ones like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Here is today’s possible market data for XRP

• Price: $2.82 (Possible Average Price on Oct 10) 
• Market Cap: $ 168.64 Billion
• 24 Hour Volume: $7.60 Billion
• Diluted Market Cap: $281.64 Billion
• Supply Inflation: 5.85% (High)
• Price Volatility: 3.26% (Medium) 
• Community Sentiment: Bearish
• Market Dominance: 4.07%
• Fear and Greed Index: 64 (Greed)

Our price analyst experts believe that the XRP token is expected to remain at this level and is unlikely to hit the $3 psychological level and ignite a significant breakout. 

Will XRP Reach $5 Price at the End of This Year?

Market analysts believe that the current short-term weakness of XRP is just momentary and it will display a strong price reversal at the end of this year. As per their analysis, the bull flag pattern on the weekly chart is actively forecasting a potential $5 upside target if XRP can hold on to the $2.85-$2.95 price range. 

ChartNerdTA, a famous technical analyst, believes that XRP was at a critical turning point and that if buyers defended $2.66 and pushed past $3.10, the pattern’s breakout target could take XRP toward $5 in the next major rally. 

At the moment, XRP is stuck between a strong support zone and has been slowly starting to show the early signs of price recovery. Despite the light green signals, a 20% price correction cannot be completely ruled out. If XRP can eliminate this scenario, it can act as a base for the upcoming breakout above the $5 price point. 

Disclaimer: The information provided in this XRP price analysis is recorded at the time of writing and is subject to change. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly due to a wide range of factors. Conduct enough research before investing in it