Why October Will Be Critical for Crypto: Bitcoin Crash Risk and XRP’s ETF Turning Point

October will be a crucial month for crypto because it marks a convergent point of major market cycles, regulatory decisions, and global events that could determine the short and long-term price direction and modular industry trends. Some historical patterns describe October as a positive “Uptober” trend, which is generally marked by positive returns for digital assets like cryptocurrency. The cryptomarket is experiencing a significant pullback at the moment, and a potential resurrection is inevitable and likely to occur in the next month. 

Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, all went through a significant price drop in the past weeks. But the scenario has started to slightly change because all three tokens are currently showing bullish momentum and trading at higher prices than yesterday. Bitcoin, the most valuable cryptocurrency in the world, currently trades at $109,654.63, which is 0.4% higher than yesterday’s value. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is trading at $4,018.39, 2.55% higher than the previous day’s trading price, whereas XRP, the native currency of the XRP Ledger, resurrected to $2.79 price point, 1.65% higher than yesterday’s value. 

The cryptocurrencies showing positive signs as October comes is a good sign, and multiple analysts and experts believe that a possible “Uptober” trend can be expected in the next month. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and it does not guarantee anything, so even if there is a small positive momentum, investors cannot expect that the trend will continue, especially since there are factors like a potential U.S. government shutdown.

Will Bitcoin Reach $130,000 in October? Is there any Crash Risk?

The whole crypto community is closely watching the market and believes October will be a crucial month for crypto, especially for Bitcoin. Multiple crypto analysts opined that Bitcoin might reach a major top between $100,000 and $140,000 early in October before facing a deep price correction that could drop the price toward $50,000, over 60% off its highs. A possible significant price surge at the beginning of October is possible, but the expert analysis finds that BTC will struggle to maintain that price rally and probably fall to a historical low in recent times.

According to the evaluation, the possible bearish scenario of BTC at the end of October is supported by the short-term large-scale liquidations and factors like the potential government shutdown in the U.S., even though there are speculations regarding the bearish trend, some experts believe that there is also room for bullish gains before the expected BTC crash. 

Will XRP’s ETFs be a Turning Point in October?

October is a pivotal month for XRP because a set of key regulatory and institutional events revolving around XRP is scheduled for the month. Multiple spot XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) applications are under verification by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the latest information suggests that the final verdicts of those filings can be expected in mid to late October 2025, with deadlines ranging from October 18 to October 25. 

ETF approvals by the SEC would create a bullish market momentum and would attract institutional investors and provide them with a regulated and compliant way to gain exposure to XRP, potentially leading to substantial new capital inflows over time. The legal disputes between XRP and the SEC were a hot topic in the crypto community, but with the green light from the SEC, XRP could enhance its institutional credibility. For deeper context on XRP ETFs, see XRP ETF Approval Clock Ticks Down With Decision Dates Revealed.

Nate Geraci, a financial commentator from ETF Store, commented that the SEC’s coordinated ruling window between October 18–25 would see landmark decisions for Grayscale, 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary, WisdomTree, and CoinShares spot XRP ETFs, creating a “countdown to launch” and institutional shift for XRP if approved. 

Kimberly Adams, Senior ETF Analyst at Cointelegraph, stated that if spot XRP ETFs won approval, they could see $10-15 billion in new funds accumulate by year’s end, and XRP would join Bitcoin and Ethereum as a mainstream, retirement-qualified digital asset for pension and insurance pools. Check XRP Price Prediction 2025-2030

October will be a crucial month for all cryptocurrencies, as per the latest evaluation, ETF decisions, regulatory clarity, various macro events, etc, all will play a major role in defining the total outcome of the market.

Also Read: XRP Down 8% In 1 Week: What Is Going On?

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency prices can rise or fall dramatically in short periods due to market dynamics, speculation, regulatory news, or technological issues. Total loss of investment is possible.