Following the 2021 historical rally of Shiba Inu (SHIB) that reshaped the memecoin niche, the token has been going through a downward spiral, with the price 87% down from the all-time high (ATH). However, SHIB has started showing signs of recovery due to the surge in burn rate by 7,200% in the last 24 hours.
Various crypto analysts consider the spike in burn rate, along with the whale activities and the promising roadmap, as a signal for a potential breakout, with price predictions ranging from a realistic $0.0000$16 to a surprising $0.1 per SHIB.
This news analysis article dissects the current happenings surrounding Shibu Inu to provide clarity regarding the technical, institutional, and retail scenarios of the token and to forecast its future movements.
The On-Chain View: Burn Rate Alone Won’t Help Shiba Inu Surge
Around 7.06 million SHIB was burned on Friday, September 26, 2025, when a single user sent 6 million SHIB to a burn address. The removal of tokens reduced the circulating supply to 589 trillion, and the social media communities of Shiba Inu are positive about the burn, sparking a price reaction.
However, the on-chain data shows reduced trading activity on SHIB. The 24-hour trading volume is 36.86% down from the past day, indicating a loss of interest from traders. The scarcity will help the coin surge only if the demand increases, and that requires “virality” because of its identity as a memecoin and clear utility, which its decentralized finance projects promise.
While 7.06 million tokens might sound huge at first glance, it is negligible considering the total supply, and similar burnings should occur regularly to create a significant reduction. Or else, a supply shock similar to the 410 trillion SHIB burn by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin in 2021 should occur.
The Institutional Standpoint: Will ETF Help SHIB Surge?
Apart from the increase in burn rate, the exchange outflow of SHIB is also on the rise, indicating whale accumulation. Between September 15th and 17th, around 512 billion SHIB tokens were transferred from a Kraken hot wallet to an anonymous private wallet. The Etherescan data shows that multiple whale transfers happened recently, raising doubts about ETF-driven accumulation.
While no official SHIB-based ETF application has been submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), several crypto experts believe SHIB has a chance since the similar coin DOGE has filed for ETFs. If the current accumulation is ETF-driven and SHIB enters the ETF frenzy, we will likely witness a bull run to new ATHs.
With the arrival of pro-crypto regulatory frameworks in the U.S. and the recent sanctioning of new listing standards that eliminate the need for individual regulatory review, SHIB has strong chances to get approval if filed. But it should be with the new eligibility criteria. Del Crypto, a renowned crypto expert, tweeted recently that SHIB requires a clean name, a clean face, and a compliant strategy to get an ETF approval.
The Retail Scenario: Active Social Media Activity Despite the Decrease in Trading Volume
The market data shows that retail investors are less involved in trading, but the social media engagement through Shiba Inu’s communities has increased. However, the recent $4.1 million exploit in Shibarium, a Layer-2 blockchain solution for SHIB, detached a significant number of users from its ecosystem.
Despite the enhancements in security frameworks following the hack, SHIB continues to decrease activity, and it requires extreme marketing and community engagement to attract both retail investors and whales to the token.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Forecast: Bullish, But No Breakout to ATH
The price prediction based on the technical analysis, historical data, and market sentiment suggests that Shiba Inu will reach a maximum value of $ 0.00002357 by December 2025, but it won’t be able to crack the previous all-time highs.
| Month | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | $ 0.00001171 | $ 0.00001230 | $ 0.00001383 | 16.21% |
| Oct 2025 | $ 0.00001284 | $ 0.00001337 | $ 0.00001393 | 17.03% |
| Nov 2025 | $ 0.00001275 | $ 0.00001342 | $ 0.00001418 | 19.17% |
| Dec 2025 | $ 0.00001353 | $ 0.00001355 | $ 0.00002357 | 14.05% |
Disclaimer: This crypto price forecast is based on predictive modeling and should not be considered financial advice.
SHIB Market Today: Will Shiba Inu Restart the Memecoin Momentum?
- Fear & Greed Index: 33 (Fear)
- Market Sentiment: Bearish
- Supply Inflation: 0.00% (Low)
- Dominance: 0.18%
- Volatility: 4.52% (Medium)
Shiba Inu is nearly 1% up today, but it is still in the bearish phase and requires strong participation of whales to exhibit a short-term uptrend. At present, SHIB is trading for $0.00001177, with 86.88% downward movement from the all-time high it achieved on October 21st, 2021.