Bitcoin Price Prediction Today – October 15, 2025

Bitcoin has had a tumultuous ride since it hit an all-time high of $126K back on October 6. The crypto market faced record crashes amid the heightened geopolitical tensions between the US and China. Although BTC made a comeback,  the crypto market is still under macro pressure. The corrections can be expected if the bearish sentiment continues. 

Current Market Scenario: How is BTC Faring?

Bitcoin is currently trading around $112,052.81, and the price is down by 1.55% in the past 24 hours. The market cap reduced to 2.23 trillion. Nevertheless, the BTC is currently trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but below the 50-day SMA of $ 114,665.

Technical Analysis and Bitcoin Price Prediction

The overall market sentiment remains bearish. The Fear & Greed Index value stands at 34 (fear). The fear status of the index clearly suggests that the investors are concerned about potential losses, and corrections may be on the way. The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) value of 44 suggests a neutral stance inclining towards bearish momentum. Moreover, the bearish sentiments are further reinforced by the MACD histogram. 

Amid the bearish expectations, the traders will be prompted to sell, which will further bring down the prices. Additionally, the crypto market led by BTC is still reeling under the macro pressure created by renewed trade tension between the United States and China, and continued U.S government shutdown. If this scenario of bearish technical signals and heightened macro uncertainties continues, the BTC may face corrections, and the price is expected to slide to $110 and further $104. 

If the BTC can hold $112 level, the price is projected to rise to $113 and above today, given no macroeconomic headwinds such as further escalation of geopolitical tensions.

How do the Growing Geopolitical Tensions Between the U.S and China Affect the BTC?

The crypto market rattled when President Trump announced a 100 % tariff on Chinese imports, and the liquidations amounted to nearly 20 billion. Although the dominant coins staged a comeback, the market is still reeling under pressure. The possibility of a tariff war and heated exchanges between the world’s largest economies forces investors to stick to safer assets. The risk appetite will go down amid the uncertainties.

Nonetheless, if the trade talks progress smoothly, the BTC may see a renewed momentum. But no concrete progress has been made so far, and the temporary pause on the 100% tariff is set to expire in November. 

Institutional Activities and the BTC Price Trends

Another key factor to consider is the institutional activity. The BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) showed an outflow of 326.40 million on October 13; on the other hand, yesterday marked a net inflow of 102.70 million led by FBTC (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund). The increased inflows are a positive sign. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency, the fundamentals of BTC remain strong.  

Despite the institutional interest, the crypto traders need to be wary of the whale activities; any profit-taking from them could be detrimental to the performance of BTC. It’s worth noting that whales hold a significant amount of BTC; any movement from them could send tremors in the market.

How will the Fed Rate Cuts Affect the Future Price of BTC?

The much-anticipated Fed Rate cuts are expected to have a positive impact on the price of BTC, as lower interest rates could stimulate the risk appetite, resulting in a liquidity shift to riskier investments such as crypto. An easy monetary policy is expected to have a bullish effect on the entire crypto market.

Bitcoin Price Prediction Today: Bottom Line

The threat of an upcoming Tariff war,  the ongoing U.S government shutdowns, delays in the release of crucial economic data, and fears about an economic slowdown are keeping the sentiments bearish. The macro pressure needs to be eased to an uptrend to sustain. As the crypto market is highly volatile, technical headwinds can not be ruled out as well. The investors are recommended to monitor the key market indicators and keep themselves informed of the latest changes in both the macroeconomic and regulatory landscapes.