Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Key Market Signals Point to a Volatile 2026

With a large AVAX unlock scheduled on 11th February, 2026, traders are trading carefully when it comes to trading AVAX. It is expected that Avalanche will unlock a total of 1.67 million AVAX tokens in the coming date of February 11th, 2026. With such a high token release price is in risk of profit-taking.

However, if the demand for AVAX remains stable, the large unlock may be absorbed without much price action. The industry is awaiting further news as the details of the AVAX unlock were publicized two days ago.

In light of the current developments, we will be looking at a long-term price prediction of AVAX in this article.

AVAX Price Parameters 17th November, 2025

From what could be obtained from the market, it appears that traders are sharing a fearful outlook on AVAX. As the unlock date is nearing, investors are in panic. Huge unlocks like these have historically had an impact on the price of AVAX.

Rapid and indiscriminate profit-taking is one of the major reasons behind such big price moves. Whether the AVAX price will drop is still determined by the likelihood of AVAX. If there is enough demand in the market, courtesy of market conditions and macroeconomic factors, the unlock may not put much pressure on the asset’s price.

Avalanche May See Institutional Partnerships

Based on the news received from the industry, one of the five major banks in South Korea, the NH NongHyup, is working on a PoC (Proof of Concept) that involves providing Value-added Tax (VAT) refunds in the form of stablecoins.

This could be a program that is launched in conjunction with South Korea’s plan to launch a stablecoin pegged to the South Korean Won. This stablecoin, dubbed KRW, is under thoughtful consideration by the South Korean government.

The regulatory framework for the stablecoin is being developed as a protective measure against the dominance of US-dollar-backed stablecoins like USDT and USDC.

In light of these recent events, the NH NongHyup bank is also on a path of digitizing its assets. Avalanche has a huge role in this PoC as it is one of the four major entities involved in the process. In addition to Avalanche, the bank has included Mastercard, Worldpay, and Fireblocks at the PoC stage.

This program is targeted at the tourists coming to South Korea, who are increasing in number. Choi Woon-jae, the executive vice president of NH NongHyup Bank, stated earlier that this PoC would demonstrate how blockchain will improve customer experience and strengthen national competitiveness against US-dollar-backed stablecoins.

The bank plans on utilizing blockchain technology to improve the refund process in two ways. A blockchain-based system will automate the recording of refund data, which will enhance the efficiency and convenience for both tourists and businesses. The second part utilizes a stablecoin for instant payments on South Korean marketplaces for tourists.

Thus, the bank is expecting the PoC to realize two major goals involving efficient processing and real-time digital currency conversion for shopping and spending.

If the PoC becomes a success, NH NongHyup may go forward with the project, giving Avalanche a much-needed institutional partnership amidst the token unlock scheduled for February 11th, 2026, which can otherwise rattle the price of AVAX.

AVAX Long-Term Price Forecast

The price predictions for AVAX in the long run seem to be accurate, as we can see a potential drop in prices after February. This could be the unlock pulling down on prices. However, it seems that the predictions for the rest of 2026 seem bullish. This could be courtesy of industry news regarding new institutional partnerships that Avalanche is planning on.

Based on what data is available at the moment, this seems to be the price prediction for AVAX for the coming days. There is a brief profit-taking window by February of 2026, and then there are multiple entry points in 2026, especially during August of 2026.

Conclusion

The upcoming AVAX token unlock is posing a threat to prices, with potential for price fluctuations courtesy of profit-taking. Without strong market demand and investor backing, it seems that AVAX will be on a bear run for most of 2026.

With fresh institutional investments on the horizon, AVAX seems to make a comeback by the end of 2026. If this holds, 2026 could be a strategic year where investors may take their opportunity wisely to enter and exit the market.