Why Traders Are Watching XRP Closely in 2025: Technical Analysis, Sentiment & Insights

The XRP is holding around $3, and the million-dollar question is whether it will break the current threshold. Historically, the highest price fetched by Ripple-backed XRP was $ 3.92 back in 2018.
The traders are keenly watching the marketing dynamics as $3 remains not just as a technical barrier, but rather as a strong psychological barrier, building selling pressure. Since it’s a break-or-make moment for XRP, the crypto enthusiasts are on pins and needles. The experts are divided, with some remaining optimistic while others are viewing it with apprehension.
Here is a detailed breakdown of the recent developments around XRP. The article explores the performance of technical indicators, market sentiments regarding XRP, and the experts’ insights on the matter.
Technical Analysis of XRP
The price of XRP as of 13th September 2025 is around $ 3.10. The price had increased 1.51% in the last 24 hours. The 24-hour trading volume stands at $ 8.99B. The current market cap remains at $ 184.88B. It is ranked #3 in the Layer 1 sector. Moreover, XRP has a market dominance of 4.54%.
It is trading above the 200-day simple moving average. The current 200-day simple moving average is $ 2.52. The Fear & Greed Index value is 57 (Greed). The market sentiment is bullish. The 28 technical indicators are backing the bullish trend. Volatility is in the medium category with a value of 4.02%.
The major red flag is fewer green days; the XRP only had 11 green days in the last 30 days. The yearly inflation rate is 5.82%.
| Key Parameters | Value |
| 24 Hour Volume | 24H Volume |
| Dominance | 4.55% |
| Volatility | 4.02% (Medium) |
| Supply Inflation | 5.82% (High) |
| Fear & Greed Index | 52 (Neutral) |
| Green Days | 11/30 (37%) |
| 200-Day SMA | $ 2.52 |
| 50-Day SMA | $ 3.01 |
| 14-Day RSI | 56.66 |
Market Sentiment Around XRP
The market sentiments remain bullish. Bullish around XRP is supported by both technical indicators and recent events. The SEC’s decision to drop the long-standing lawsuit against XRP and its increasing acceptance as a long-term investment with high growth potential are driving a positive sentiment.
The attractiveness of XRP also lies in the cryptocurrency’s ability to create real-world assets. The clarity on its legal status and a possible XRP ETF is further generating interest in XRP. In the past year, the price has increased by 449%. And it has outperformed 99% of the top 100 crypto assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum.
XRP also has high liquidity due to its market cap. Despite the bullish outlook, the price of XRP is expected to decline in the next five days and possibly continue a downward path in the next month. But a recovery is predicted towards the end of the year, with the price reaching around $ 3.59, with a potential return on investment of 18.64%.
Expert Insights on XRP Holding Around $3 and a Possible Outbreak
The crypto experts had earlier predicted that XRP could reach $5 by the end of the year if it could sustain the current momentum around $3. According to a renowned crypto expert, Crypto Bitlord, the current state is detrimental as a failure to keep momentum around $3 could lead to a dip into $2.
Historically, the $3 has acted as a determinant resistance level. Back in 2018, the price had plummeted to $1 after hovering around $3. The earlier setbacks weigh heavily as a psychological barrier for investors. While some crypto experts remain optimistic about reaching $ 5 and more by the end of the year, others are sticking to a conservative outlook.
The conservative long-term predictions are in the range of $2.20 to $2.50. The major reason for the conservative outlook is due to the institutional players. These dominant players are selling at resistance. Recent breakout attempts above the $3 barrier had repeatedly failed with high selling pressure building around $3 resistance. The price movements around BTC can also affect the price of XRP. If its price rallies higher, the price of XRP may also go up.
The traders are keeping a keen watch on the price changes as a possible breakout is still on the horizon if Ripple-backed XRP could overcome the key resistance level at $3.
Bottom Line
The $3 remains as the key resistance level of XRP. The historic failures of the coin to break through this barrier are building a strong selling pressure. Despite the legacy data, the current outlook around XRP remains optimistic, and experts are not ruling out reaching $5 value by the end of the year.
Furthermore, the recent legal clarity brought by the SEC’s decision and the possible ETFs are building a favourable environment. The experts advise crypto investors to remain cautious and keep themselves posted about recent developments in the crypto world.
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