Key Takeaways
- AVAX is struggling to gain momentum amidst institutional support.
- Prices dropped by nearly 86% in 2025.
- The third quarter also doesn’t inspire confidence.
- Investors are backing off from AVAX.
2025 was not a hopeful year for AVAX, with a huge dip that left investors in disarray. The chances for AVAX, the native token of the Avalanche network, to make a rebound seem unlikely.
The larger worrying factor is that during these periods, Avalanche had seen significant institutional investments. Even with such a backup, the token lagged in the market, almost dropping by 86%.
AVAX Current Price Parameters
| AVAX Current Price | $16.26 |
| AVAX Current Market Capitalization | 6.98 Billion US dollars |
| AVAX Current Volume | 431.35 Million US dollars |
| AVAX Fear and Greed Index | 27 – Indicative of Fear |
What Happened To AVAX
September seemed to be a month where AVAX would make some significant gains as a bullish rally broke the upper boundary of an ascending triangle pattern. This optimism was rather short-lived as the investors soon started taking profits.
At the time of the massive profit-taking frenzy, AVAX was trading at $35. Post this frenzy, the price saw such a drastic bear run that it almost left most long-term investors in tears. AVAX’s bad luck wasn’t ending there, as the next round of price correction came on October 10th, which had an industry-wide effect.
The global tensions, macroeconomic pushdowns, and associated factors all crushed the high-risk cryptocurrency market. During this event, AVAX was pushed down to a measly $17.50.
Future Outlook On AVAX Price
To break this bearish streak, AVAX needs some key uprisings. With several resistance points standing tall in AVAX’s journey back up, it is doubtful as to whether AVAX can indeed surge past these critical points.
Optimistic Outlook
To at least finish this year with an optimistic mark price, AVAX has to beat the $26 mark resistance. But simply pushing past this level will not do it for AVAX. By going past this level, AVAX must secure the $35 mark as its key support, at least by the end of November. This is a tall order considering that AVAX is now at less than half the price of its critical support as the early quarter of November is nearing a close.
Pessimistic Outlook
A more pessimistic but realistic and ongoing outlook would be that AVAX maintains $15 mark as its key support. If this support holds, AVAX can continue a sideways run in the $15 to $26 range till this year’s last day.
However, these are all based on predictive modelling generated from data sourced from various places. A strong market action, institutional intervention, or similar event could support the initial case where AVAX reclaims its potential.
AVAX Price Prediction For Today
| Potential High | $16.72 |
| Potential Low | $16.21 |
| Potential Average | $16.47 |
AVAX Price Prediction For The Week
| Date | Day of week | Daily Low | Daily High | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Friday | $14.88 | $16.51 | $15.7 |
| 08/11 | Saturday | $15.17 | $16.67 | $15.92 |
| 09/11 | Sunday | $15.2 | $16.94 | $16.07 |
| 10/11 | Monday | $13.01 | $16.84 | $14.93 |
| 11/11 | Tuesday | $12.14 | $14.94 | $13.54 |
| 12/11 | Wednesday | $12.39 | $14.92 | $13.66 |
| 13/11 | Thursday | $13.32 | $14.66 | $13.99 |
The coming week does not inspire confidence in investors as of now. The prices are going down later in the second week. By Monday next week, the price seems to break the key support level of $15.
If this prediction is accurate, the recovery planned by year’s end could be a far-fetched dream for AVAX. Maintaining a proper track record becomes much difficult at times like these.
AVAX Monthly Prediction
| Date | Week | Weekly Low | Weekly High | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 – 16/11 | Week 1 | $4.07 | $15.73 | $9.9 |
| 17/11 – 23/11 | Week 2 | $8.77 | $14.58 | $11.68 |
| 24/11 – 30/11 | Week 3 | $8.16 | $11.72 | $9.94 |
| 01/12 – 07/12 | Week 4 | $7.25 | $11.61 | $9.43 |
The monthly prediction for AVAX remains largely bearish. With strong sentiments overruling any potential gains, AVAX could be on a path to sustained losses till this year ends.
Conclusion
Even with strong institutional support like the Frontier Stable Token or FRNT of the Wyoming Stable Token Commission being launched over the Avalanche network, AVAX seems to be unresponsive to these macroeconomic factors.
The large profit-taking frenzy has caused AVAX a serious problem; an 86% drop in a matter of one year is a serious pullback for any token. There have only been a few such incidents where a mainstream token like AVAX has fallen to such extremes in the recent past.
However, with more governmental support promised in the coming days, the identity of AVAX could take a sharp turn. Wyoming’s policy regarding state-sponsored stablecoins could be a game-changer for AVAX. The future, however, is largely uncertain, and AVAX could go down much further, and it is especially alarming if panic sales pile up from the side of long-term investors.
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